Week of 2026-03-30
Next Week
Board Names
29
Reported
28
Beats
11
Misses
14
In Line
3
Hit Rate
44%
Performance by Grade
This is the cleanest read on whether A names are outperforming B and C names.
A
Reported: 12
Beats: 2
Misses: 9
In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 18.2%
Avg Surprise %: -1,030.23%
B
Reported: 8
Beats: 4
Misses: 3
In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 57.1%
Avg Surprise %: +1.22%
C
Reported: 8
Beats: 5
Misses: 2
In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 71.4%
Avg Surprise %: -64.79%
Performance by Confidence Bucket
Shows whether the higher setup-score buckets are actually validating after reports hit.
High Confidence
Reported: 12
Beats: 2
Misses: 9
In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 18.2%
Medium Confidence
Reported: 8
Beats: 4
Misses: 3
In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 57.1%
Watchlist
Reported: 8
Beats: 5
Misses: 2
In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 71.4%
Weekly Trend
Simple trend view for the last few weeks so you can see if the model is improving.
| Week Start | Beats | Misses | In Line | Hit Rate | Avg Surprise % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-09-28 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 40% | -64.73% |
| 2026-09-21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | +84.93% |
| 2026-09-14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | -1.38% |
| 2026-09-07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-08-31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-08-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Reported Names This Week
Useful as a spot-check table to make sure the grade math and reported outcomes line up.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Grade | Bucket | Score | Surprise % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | BCAX📓 | Bicara Therapeutics Inc | C | Watchlist | 24.35 | +0.66% | IN LINE |
| 2026-03-30 | FRMI📓 | Fermi Inc | C | Watchlist | 23.95 | -977.84% | MISS |
| 2026-03-30 | PHR📓 | Phreesia Inc | A | High Confidence | 56.65 | -72.49% | MISS |
| 2026-03-30 | PRGS📓 | Progress Software Corp | B | Medium Confidence | 50.22 | +0.03% | IN LINE |
| 2026-03-30 | SGML📓 | Sigma Lithium Corp | A | High Confidence | 71.29 | -220.13% | MISS |
| 2026-03-30 | USAS📓 | Americas Gold and Silver Corp | A | High Confidence | 57.00 | -823.68% | MISS |
| 2026-03-31 | AAUC📓 | Allied Gold Corp | A | High Confidence | 56.69 | +1.67% | BEAT |
| 2026-03-31 | BITF📓 | Bitfarms Ltd | A | High Confidence | 85.17 | -600.28% | MISS |
| 2026-03-31 | CHA📓 | Chagee Holdings Ltd | A | High Confidence | 60.60 | -76.25% | MISS |
| 2026-03-31 | FDS📓 | Factset Research Systems Inc | A | High Confidence | 58.36 | +0.92% | IN LINE |
| 2026-03-31 | HDL📓 | Super Hi International | C | Watchlist | 38.43 | +150.00% | BEAT |
| 2026-03-31 | MKC📓 | McCormick & Company | C | Watchlist | 37.22 | +9.93% | BEAT |
| 2026-03-31 | NCNO📓 | nCino Inc | A | High Confidence | 70.05 | -10.92% | MISS |
| 2026-03-31 | OMER📓 | Omeros Corp | C | Watchlist | 35.59 | +268.56% | BEAT |
| 2026-03-31 | PENG📓 | Penguin Solutions Inc | C | Watchlist | 6.00 | +20.65% | BEAT |
| 2026-03-31 | PVH📓 | PVH Corp | A | High Confidence | 56.21 | +14.51% | BEAT |
| 2026-03-31 | PVLA📓 | Palvella Therapeutics Inc | C | Watchlist | 38.55 | -15.20% | MISS |
| 2026-03-31 | RH📓 | RH | A | High Confidence | 61.59 | -32.99% | MISS |
| 2026-03-31 | TE📓 | T1 Energy | A | High Confidence | 70.75 | -10,475.00% | MISS |
| 2026-04-01 | CAG📓 | Conagra Brands Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 40.70 | -3.56% | MISS |
| 2026-04-01 | CALM📓 | Cal-Maine Foods Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 54.20 | +29.90% | BEAT |
| 2026-04-01 | LW📓 | Lamb Weston Holdings Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 40.41 | +14.07% | BEAT |
| 2026-04-01 | MSM📓 | MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 46.57 | -2.91% | MISS |
| 2026-04-01 | NG📓 | NovaGold Resources Inc | C | Watchlist | 17.55 | +24.95% | BEAT |
| 2026-04-01 | TLRY📓 | Tilray Brands Inc | A | High Confidence | 86.85 | -68.07% | MISS |
| 2026-04-01 | UNF📓 | UniFirst Corp | B | Medium Confidence | 49.19 | +2.12% | BEAT |
| 2026-04-02 | AYI📓 | Acuity Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 44.88 | +2.51% | BEAT |
| 2026-04-02 | LNN📓 | Lindsay Corp | B | Medium Confidence | 54.25 | -32.43% | MISS |
