Tracks how earnings picks performed after reporting.
Filter by board status, verification, time, and fundamentals.
Showing: Verified Only
Total
17
Made Board
6
Beats
6
Misses
9
In Line
2
Hit Rate
40%
Confidence Bucket Performance
Only reported names that actually made the board are included below.
High Confidence
Reported: 0
Beats: 0 Misses: 0 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Median Surprise: —
Avg Surprise: —
Medium Confidence
Reported: 3
Beats: 1 Misses: 2 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 33.3%
Median Surprise: -41.04%
Avg Surprise: -22.40%
Trimmed Avg: -41.04% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -42.66% Best: +16.49%
Watchlist
Reported: 14
Beats: 5 Misses: 7 In Line: 2
Hit Rate: 41.7%
Median Surprise: -1.93%
Avg Surprise: -367.41%
Trimmed Avg: -4.19% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -5,169.12% Best: +75.67%
Grade Performance
Win rate, median & average surprise % by grade. Trimmed avg excludes the single best and worst outlier.
A
Reported: 0
Beats: 0 Misses: 0 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: —
Median Surprise: —
Avg Surprise: —
B
Reported: 3
Beats: 1 Misses: 2 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 33.3%
Median Surprise: -41.04%
Avg Surprise: -22.40%
Trimmed Avg: -41.04% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -42.66% Best: +16.49%
C
Reported: 6
Beats: 2 Misses: 3 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 40%
Median Surprise: -2.93%
Avg Surprise: -4.73%
Trimmed Avg: -4.19% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -35.97% Best: +24.33%
D
Reported: 4
Beats: 1 Misses: 2 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 33.3%
Median Surprise: -1.58%
Avg Surprise: -8.54%
Trimmed Avg: -1.58% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -59.56% Best: +28.56%
F
Reported: 4
Beats: 2 Misses: 2 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 50%
Median Surprise: +6.15%
Avg Surprise: -1,270.29%
Trimmed Avg: +6.15% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -5,169.12% Best: +75.67%
Reported Names
Only names that made the board are shown.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Grade | Setup Tier | Score | Risk | Trade Tag | Price | Exp EPS | Act EPS | EPS Δ % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | FRVO | Fervo Energy Co. - Class A | F | Watchlist | 0.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $35.09 | -0.07 | -3.72 | -5,169.12% | Miss |
| 2026-06-23 | CBRS | Cerebras Systems Inc - Class A | F | Watchlist | 4.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $234.71 | -0.16 | -0.04 | +75.67% | Beat |
| 2026-06-23 | CCL | Carnival Corporation Ltd (Paired Stock) | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Low Growth | Conditional | $30.87 | 0.35 | 0.20 | -42.66% | Miss |
| 2026-06-23 | FDX | Fedex Corp | C | Watchlist | 38.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $326.20 | 6.02 | 5.25 | -12.75% | Miss |
| 2026-06-23 | KBH | KB Home | C | Watchlist | 37.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $54.20 | 0.45 | 0.56 | +24.33% | Beat |
| 2026-06-23 | KFY | Korn Ferry | D | Watchlist | 29.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $71.46 | 1.39 | 1.40 | +0.44% | In Line |
| 2026-06-23 | SUNB | Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc | F | Watchlist | 4.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $86.06 | 0.77 | 0.74 | -4.02% | Miss |
| 2026-06-24 | FUL | H.B. Fuller Company | D | Watchlist | 26.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $64.86 | 1.41 | 0.57 | -59.56% | Miss |
| 2026-06-24 | JEF | Jefferies Financial Group Inc | C | Watchlist | 39.0 | Clean Setup | Volatility | $62.10 | 1.09 | 0.70 | -35.97% | Miss |
| 2026-06-24 | MU | Micron Technology Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $1,133.99 | 20.69 | 12.20 | -41.04% | Miss |
| 2026-06-24 | NG | Novagold Resources Inc | F | Watchlist | 0.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $7.80 | -0.05 | -0.04 | +16.32% | Beat |
| 2026-06-24 | PAYX | Paychex Inc | D | Watchlist | 29.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $98.24 | 1.33 | 1.71 | +28.56% | Beat |
| 2026-06-25 | AYI | Acuity Brands Inc | C | Watchlist | 38.0 | Liquidity Trap | Volatility | $317.62 | 5.21 | 5.31 | +1.85% | Beat |
| 2026-06-25 | CMC | Commercial Metals Company | D | Watchlist | 29.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $72.36 | 1.79 | 1.73 | -3.59% | Miss |
| 2026-06-25 | DRI | Darden Restaurants Inc | C | Watchlist | 36.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $213.45 | 3.67 | 3.66 | -0.27% | In Line |
| 2026-06-25 | MKC | McCormick & Co. Inc (Non Voting) | C | Watchlist | 33.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $46.64 | 0.70 | 0.66 | -5.59% | Miss |
| 2026-06-25 | SNX | TD Synnex Corp | B | Medium Confidence | 43.0 | Low Growth | Volatility | $284.56 | 4.16 | 4.85 | +16.49% | Beat |
