Tracks how earnings picks performed after reporting.
Filter by board status, verification, time, and fundamentals.
Showing: Verified Only
Total
69
Made Board
69
Beats
41
Misses
23
In Line
5
Hit Rate
64.1%
Confidence Bucket Performance
Only reported names that actually made the board are included below.
High Confidence
Reported: 6
Beats: 3 Misses: 3 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 50%
Median Surprise: +11.51%
Avg Surprise: +215.80%
Trimmed Avg: +163.80% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -213.81% Best: +853.42%
Medium Confidence
Reported: 30
Beats: 12 Misses: 14 In Line: 4
Hit Rate: 46.2%
Median Surprise: -0.51%
Avg Surprise: +53.91%
Trimmed Avg: +2.49% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -625.81% Best: +2,173.58%
Watchlist
Reported: 33
Beats: 26 Misses: 6 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 81.3%
Median Surprise: +8.54%
Avg Surprise: +3.97%
Trimmed Avg: +11.41% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -751.31% Best: +528.57%
Grade Performance
Win rate, median & average surprise % by grade. Trimmed avg excludes the single best and worst outlier.
A
Reported: 6
Beats: 3 Misses: 3 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 50%
Median Surprise: +11.51%
Avg Surprise: +215.80%
Trimmed Avg: +163.80% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -213.81% Best: +853.42%
B
Reported: 30
Beats: 12 Misses: 14 In Line: 4
Hit Rate: 46.2%
Median Surprise: -0.51%
Avg Surprise: +53.91%
Trimmed Avg: +2.49% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -625.81% Best: +2,173.58%
C
Reported: 15
Beats: 11 Misses: 3 In Line: 1
Hit Rate: 78.6%
Median Surprise: +6.88%
Avg Surprise: +20.32%
Trimmed Avg: +2.77% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -259.82% Best: +528.57%
D
Reported: 8
Beats: 7 Misses: 1 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 87.5%
Median Surprise: +12.69%
Avg Surprise: -35.43%
Trimmed Avg: +44.34% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -751.31% Best: +201.83%
F
Reported: 10
Beats: 8 Misses: 2 In Line: 0
Hit Rate: 80%
Median Surprise: +7.78%
Avg Surprise: +10.98%
Trimmed Avg: +8.71% (excl. outliers)
Worst: -22.07% Best: +62.15%
Reported Names
Only names that made the board are shown.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Grade | Setup Tier | Score | Risk | Trade Tag | Price | Exp EPS | Act EPS | EPS Δ % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | INDI | Indie Semiconductor Inc - Class A | D | Watchlist | 26.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $4.39 | -0.07 | -0.06 | +8.54% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | INSM | Insmed Inc | C | Watchlist | 39.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $133.26 | -0.98 | -0.76 | +22.83% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | INSW | International Seaways Inc | F | Watchlist | 11.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $85.14 | 2.41 | 3.90 | +62.15% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | IREN | Iris Energy Ltd | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $45.66 | -0.17 | -0.25 | -43.02% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | MCD | McDonald`s Corp | F | Watchlist | 18.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $286.64 | 2.77 | 2.83 | +2.13% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | MP | MP Materials Corporation | C | Watchlist | 35.0 | Valuation Risk | Volatility | $66.63 | -0.01 | 0.03 | +528.57% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | OPEN | Opendoor Technologies Inc | C | Watchlist | 38.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $5.44 | -0.07 | -0.05 | +29.97% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | PRMB | Primo Brands Corp - Class A | A | High Confidence | 58.0 | Clean Setup | Breakout | $20.03 | 0.25 | 0.23 | -9.27% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | RCAT | Red Cat Holdings Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $11.23 | -0.12 | -0.22 | -83.33% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | RKLB | Rocket Lab USA Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $78.81 | -0.08 | -0.02 | +75.46% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | RKT | Rocket Companies Inc Class A | F | Watchlist | 4.0 | Data Gap | Watch Only | $14.64 | 0.12 | 0.15 | +23.76% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | SERV | Serve Robotics Inc | B | Medium Confidence | 42.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $9.40 | -0.59 | -0.65 | -11.09% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | SMR | NuScale Power Corporation - Class A | F | Watchlist | 18.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $12.14 | -0.13 | -0.14 | -8.78% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | SOUN | SoundHound AI Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Valuation Risk | Conditional | $9.56 | -0.04 | -0.06 | -33.63% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | TTD | Trade Desk Inc - Class A | B | Medium Confidence | 48.0 | Clean Setup | Conditional | $24.24 | 0.32 | 0.28 | -13.26% | Miss |
| 2026-05-07 | U | Unity Software Inc | D | Watchlist | 26.0 | Valuation Risk | Watch Only | $27.13 | -0.24 | 0.23 | +197.25% | Beat |
| 2026-05-07 | XYZ | Block Inc - Class A | C | Watchlist | 38.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $71.81 | 0.68 | 0.85 | +24.74% | Beat |
| 2026-05-08 | PAGP | Plains GP Holdings LP - Class A | D | Watchlist | 26.0 | Low Growth | Watch Only | $23.82 | 0.17 | 0.24 | +37.46% | Beat |
| 2026-05-08 | WEN | Wendy`s Co - Class A | C | Watchlist | 32.0 | Low Growth | Fade | $6.70 | 0.10 | 0.12 | +23.58% | Beat |
